Ravens vs. Chiefs prediction, odds, line, spread: 2024 AFC Championship Game picks by expert on 48-19 run (2024)

Former league MVPs will face off in Sunday's 2024 AFC Championship Game at M&T Bank Stadium when the Baltimore Ravens host the Kansas City Chiefs. Baltimore (14-4) is the AFC's No. 1 seed and defeated Houston last week behind Lamar Jackson's four total touchdowns. The quarterback was named 2019 league MVP and is the favorite to win this year's award. The Chiefs (13-6) got past the Bills, 27-24, last Sunday and enter the AFC Championship Game 2024, their sixth in a row, as the No. 3 seed and defending Super Bowl champions. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the reigning league and Super Bowl MVP and also won both awards in 2018.

Sunday's kickoff at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore is set for 3 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+. The latest Ravens vs. Chiefs odds list Baltimore as a 4.5-point favorite, according to the SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 44. Before you make any Chiefs vs. Ravens picks, you need to see what proven SportsLine NFL expert Mike Tierney has to say, considering his mastery of picks involving the Ravens.

A veteran sportswriter whose work appears periodically in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Tierney has covered the NFL for decades and reported from seven Super Bowls. He had a typically strong NFL season in 2022, going 68-54-6 on his picks and returning $815 to $100 players. In addition, he is an amazing 48-19-2 on his last 69NFL picksin games involving the Ravens, returning a whopping $2,702. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Tierney has broken downChiefs vs. Ravens and just revealed his picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting trends for Ravens vs. Chiefs:

  • Ravens vs. Chiefs spread: Baltimore -4.5
  • Ravens vs. Chiefs over/under: 44 points
  • Ravens vs. Chiefs money line: Baltimore -223, Kansas City +183
  • KC: Chiefs are 20-10-1 as road underdogs under Andy Reid (since 2013)
  • BAL: Ravens are 14-7 ATS in the playoffs under John Harbaugh (since 2008)
  • Ravens vs. Chiefs picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Ravens vs. Chiefs live stream: Paramount+ (try for free)

Why Ravens can cover

Baltimore is 7-3 at home this season (6-4 ATS), with one loss in overtime, another by two points and the third in Week 18 with most starters on the bench. Lamar Jackson can draw on his experience in the 2021 meeting, when he threw for 239 yards and rushed for 107 in the 36-35 home victory. The quarterback has rushed for 921 yards in the 19 games, leading the league's No. 1-ranked rushing attack (160.6 yards per game). The Ravens are 12-6 ATS overall in 2023.

The Ravens are sixth overall in offense (369.3 yards per game) and third in yards per play (6.0). The Baltimore defense, led by linebackers Roquan Smith and Patrick Queen (combined 291 tackles), allows a league-low 16.5 points per game. The Ravens also lead the NFL in takeaways (31) and sacks (60), with Justin Madubuike posting 13. The team also is hoping that Pro Bowl cornerback Marlon Humphrey and star tight end Mark Andrews can return from injury Sunday.See which team to pick here.

Why Chiefs can cover

Patrick Mahomes is 9-1-1 in his career as an underdog, and he and tight end Travis Kelce comprise one of the all-time great playoff duos. They have hooked up for 16 career playoff TDs, most in NFL history, and five came in conference title games. Mahomes has at least 340 passing yards in all four meetings with the Ravens, and the two-time MVP has won 13 playoff games. Mahomes has 10 TD passes and zero interceptions in winning five straight in the postseason.

The Chiefs are 9-4 ATS in their past 13 postseason games, and receiver Rashee Rice has emerged as another reliable option for Mahomes. The rookie has 177 yards in the two playoff games and has 55 receptions over the past seven overall. K.C. can almost match Baltimore's defense, as the Chiefs rank second in sacks (57) and scoring defense (17.3 points per game). They are second in total defense (292.5 yards per game) and fourth against the pass (177.6).See which team to pick here.

How to make Chiefs vs. Ravens picks

Tierney has analyzed Ravens vs. Chiefs from every angle and is leaning Under the point total, but he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine.

Who wins Chiefs vs. Ravens in Sunday's 2024 AFC Championship Game, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Ravens vs. Chiefs spread hits hard, all from the expert who is 48-19 on picks involving Baltimore, and find out.

Ravens vs. Chiefs prediction, odds, line, spread: 2024 AFC Championship Game picks by expert on 48-19 run (2024)
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