What is the 11am rule? (2024)

Does this old trading rule still stand true today?

So sometimes you hear these sayings andrulesthat traders used to come up with before charts, ChatGPT, and Instagram gurus…

And theseruleswere based on simple observations aboutthemarket’s rhythm and structure.

I’m going to explore a few more of these overthenext few weeks, but today I want to focus onthe11amrule.

What isthe11amrulein trading?

The11amrulesuggests that if a market makes a new intraday high fortheday between11:15amand11:30amEST, then it’s said to be very likely thatthemarket will endtheday near its high.

Theidea being that if there hasn’t been a push lower by11am, then demand is persistent, sellers are scarce, and we could be in for a trend day higher.

Here’s a chart example:

A new high at11.25 EST ontheS&P 500, closedtheday at highs.

What is the 11am rule? (1)

Here’s another.

So, this did actually close at highs, but your trade timing would have had to be on point to make this one work…

What is the 11am rule? (2)

You gettheidea…

Now I haven’t backtested this, but my gut says this makes sense.

I found some data to suggest thisruleapplies 75% ofthetime, but I’ve not done my own digging yet.

When I do I’ll share my findings.

I wonder if it works in other markets too…

Meanwhile, it’s something to think about, and if true, it’s another one of these little edges you could layer into your trading strategy for potentially improved returns.

What is the 11am rule? (2024)

FAQs

What is the 11am rule? ›

In simple terms the rule states that: If a trending stock makes a new high after 11:15-11:30am EST, there is a 75% chance of closing within 1% of High of day (HOD).

What is the 11am trading strategy? ›

For day traders, the 11am rule suggests that the period before 11 am EST is often characterized by heightened volatility and potential for trend reversals. This presents opportunities for traders to capitalize on short-term price movements.

What is the 3-5-7 rule in trading? ›

What is the 3 5 7 rule in trading? A risk management principle known as the “3-5-7” rule in trading advises diversifying one's financial holdings to reduce risk. The 3% rule states that you should never risk more than 3% of your whole trading capital on a single deal.

What is the no. 1 rule of trading? ›

Rule 1: Always Use a Trading Plan

You need a trading plan because it can assist you with making coherent trading decisions and define the boundaries of your optimal trade.

What is the 10am rule? ›

Traders that follow the 10 a.m. rule think a stock's price trajectory is relatively set for the day by the end of that half-hour. For example, if a stock closed at $40 the previous day, opened at $42 the next, and reached $43 by 10 a.m., this would indicate that the stock is likely to remain above $42 by market close.

What is the end of day trading method? ›

End-of-day (EOD) trading refers to an order made by a trader to execute a position by the time markets close. EOD trading involves trading a stock or another security that floats during a specified trading period. That trading period depends on the security and the market in which it trades.

What is the 1 2 3 trading strategy? ›

The classical approach to pattern 1-2-3 involves opening short positions at the break of the correctional low. The buyers who seriously expect the upward trend to be restored are most likely to have set their stop orders there. Their avalanche triggering allows you to see a sharp downward movement in the chart.

What is the 5 3 1 trading strategy? ›

The 5-3-1 trading strategy designates you should focus on only five major currency pairs. The pairs you choose should focus on one or two major currencies you're most familiar with. For example, if you live in Australia, you may choose AUD/USD, AUD/NZD, EUR/AUD, GBP/AUD, and AUD/JPY.

What is the most successful day trading pattern? ›

One popular breakout day trading strategy is the ascending triangle pattern, a bullish price consolidation pattern that often appears at a key resistance level. This pattern is often seen as a buying opportunity during an overall uptrend.

What is 90% rule in trading? ›

Understanding the Rule of 90

According to this rule, 90% of novice traders will experience significant losses within their first 90 days of trading, ultimately wiping out 90% of their initial capital.

What is the 80% rule in trading? ›

The 80% Rule is a Market Profile concept and strategy. If the market opens (or moves outside of the value area ) and then moves back into the value area for two consecutive 30-min-bars, then the 80% rule states that there is a high probability of completely filling the value area.

What are the three golden rules of trading? ›

Key Rules from Iconic Traders

Cut your losses quickly: Never let a loss get out of control. Trade with the trend: Follow the market's direction. Do not trade every day: Only trade when the market conditions are favorable.

What is the simplest trading strategy ever? ›

A simple method which doesn't require any analysis or indicator: Open a trade in the direction of the daily candle any time during the day in your own time zone. Don't put a limit. Put a stoploss equal to the length of the candle.

What is the most profitable trading strategy of all time? ›

Three most profitable Forex trading strategies
  1. Scalping strategy “Bali” This strategy is quite popular, at least, you can find its description on many trading websites. ...
  2. Candlestick strategy “Fight the tiger” ...
  3. “Profit Parabolic” trading strategy based on a Moving Average.
Jan 19, 2024

What is the 70/20/10 rule in trading? ›

Part one of the rule said that in the next 12 months, the return you got on a stock was 70% determined by what the U.S. stock market did, 20% was determined by how the industry group did and 10% was based on how undervalued and successful the individual company was.

What is the 10 00 am rule? ›

The 10 a.m. rule in stock trading is a strategy suggesting that traders should wait until around 10 a.m. before making significant trading decisions. The rationale behind this rule is to allow the market to stabilize after the initial flurry of activity that follows its opening.

What is the 10am trading strategy? ›

The 10am rule is an investment strategy used by traders to avoid the volatility of the market's opening hour. By waiting until 10am, traders hope to gain a clearer picture of the market's direction, thus making more informed trading decisions.

What is the 10 o'clock reversal? ›

The 10 AM reversal time embodies a fascinating trend within price action. If you have been trading for a few years, you know that 30 minutes into the trading day can mark a shift in direction. Why does this happen? It often stems from the momentum shift as institutional traders make their first move of the day.

What happens in the last hour of trading? ›

The first and last hours of any trading day are the most active in terms of price and volume. The activity in the last hour happens because most large institutions operate in the post-lunch session. There are also up and down swings during the day, with the market revealing its hand only in the final hour.

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